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Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
28.07.2026 22:35 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Fortaleza - Botafogo San-Paulu

Football
Fortaleza
Fortaleza
- : -
Not started
Botafogo San-Paulu
Botafogo San-Paulu
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Fortaleza50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Fortaleza): model 36% · market 51% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fortaleza50.4%
X · draw28.0%
2 · Botafogo San-Paulu21.6%

Model estimate: win Fortaleza 50.4%, draw 28.0%, win Botafogo San-Paulu 21.6%. Model favourite — Fortaleza.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Botafogo San-Paulu (odds4.60) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Botafogo San-Paulu: probability 50% vs 22% on the line (odds 4.60)
  • edge over the line +28 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fortaleza - Botafogo San-Paulu July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fortaleza.

Line favourite market consensus: Fortaleza. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.30 / 2 4.48
  • 1X2 market: Fortaleza 51.0% / X 28.2% / Botafogo San-Paulu 20.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 50.9%
X 28.2%
2 20.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Fortaleza 1 : 4 Botafogo San-Paulu
11.82
X3.30
24.54

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated27.07.2026 23:25 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 18%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X + Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-1
Claude updated27.07.2026 23:37 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 22%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Fortaleza ne proigraet)
Qwen updated27.07.2026 23:33 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 23:52 UTC
1 54% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 18%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Win Fortalezy or draw (1X)
Per AI data H2H: 0:4

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 50% 32% 18% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X + Under 2.5
Claude 50% 28% 22% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (Fortaleza ne proigraet)
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 54% 28% 18% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes Win Fortalezy or draw (1X)

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 22:35 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Fortaleza 58%
📐 Math model Fortaleza 50%
💹 Market Fortaleza 5096%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Fortaleza - Botafogo San-Paulu

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fortaleza 51.3% 50.4% market and model agree
Draw 28.2% 28.0% draw risk
Botafogo San-Paulu 20.5% 21.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.4% / 28.0% / 21.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,514 / 1,662 Fortaleza / Botafogo San-Paulu
RD 151 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,212-1,817 / 1,358-1,967 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.50 market consensus · no value · model 21.6%
X 3.30 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.82 market consensus · no value · model 50.4%
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 72.0%
1X 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 78.4%
X2 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 49.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.33 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3%
4.40 22.7% 4.54 22.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.73 57.8%
yes 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2%
x2 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.00 12.5%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_2 19.00 5.3%
0_3 51.00 2.0%
1_0 5.00 20.0%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 34.00 2.9%
1_4 91.00 1.1%
2_0 6.50 15.4%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 41.00 2.4%
2_4 126.00 0.8%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
3_3 67.00 1.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 4.0 gls
2026-03-21 · Fortaleza 0:4 Botafogo SP
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.67 (Betcity) · X 3.45 (Winline) · 2 5.1 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.62 3.4 5.1
Winline 1.66 3.45 5
Fonbet 1.62 3.4 5.1
Betcity 1.67 3.4 4.8
Liga Stavok 1.67 3.45 5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Fortaleza
L W L W W
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Fortaleza 1:2 Vila NovaVila Nova
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Fortaleza 1:0 Novorizontino
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Fortaleza 0:1 Atletiko GoyanienseAtletiko Goyaniense
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Fortaleza 2:0 Ponte-PretaPonte-Preta
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Fortaleza 1:0 NautikoNautiko
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Botafogo San-Paulu
W D D W L
23.07 22:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Botafogo San-Paulu 4:2 ZhuventudeZhuventude
17.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Botafogo San-Paulu 0:0 LondrinaLondrina
10.07 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Botafogo San-Paulu 3:3 Sport ResifiSport Resifi
05.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Botafogo San-Paulu 3:1 AvaiAvai
30.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Botafogo San-Paulu 0:1 RegatasRegatas
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points