Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Fortaleza - Botafogo San-Paulu
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Fortaleza — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · Fortaleza): model 36% · market 51% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Fortaleza 50.4%, draw 28.0%, win Botafogo San-Paulu 21.6%. Model favourite — Fortaleza.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Botafogo San-Paulu: probability 50% vs 22% on the line (odds 4.60)
- • edge over the line +28 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fortaleza - Botafogo San-Paulu July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fortaleza.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.30 / 2 4.48
- 1X2 market: Fortaleza 51.0% / X 28.2% / Botafogo San-Paulu 20.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 50% | 32% | 18% | 1:0 | Under 2.5 | No | 1X + Under 2.5 |
| Claude | 50% | 28% | 22% | 1:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Double chance 1X (Fortaleza ne proigraet) |
| Qwen | 78% | 15% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| GLM 5.2 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 2:1 | Over 2.5 | Yes | Win Fortalezy or draw (1X) |
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Fortaleza - Botafogo San-Paulu
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 4.40 22.7% | 4.54 22.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.20 23.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% |
| x2 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.95 51.3% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 1_0 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 3_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.62 | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Winline | 1.66 | 3.45 | 5 |
| Fonbet | 1.62 | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Betcity | 1.67 | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.67 | 3.45 | 5 |
Fortaleza
Vila Nova
Atletiko Goyaniense
Ponte-Preta
Nautiko
Botafogo San-Paulu
Zhuventude
Londrina
Sport Resifi
Avai
Regatas
Full head-to-head historyFortaleza - Botafogo San-Paulu
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form