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Brazil. Serie B
Brazil. Serie B
04.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Goias - Ceara Fortaleza

Futbol
Goias
Goias
2 : 0
Finished
Ceara Fortaleza
Ceara Fortaleza

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Goias - Ceara Fortaleza July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Goias.

Line favourite market consensus: Goias. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.03 / 2 3.61
  • 1X2 market: Goias 43.5% / X 30.7% / Ceara Fortaleza 25.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 43.5%
X 30.7%
2 25.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Brasileirão - Série B

Team stats

Goias
LWLWWDLDLW
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 1.4
11 place, 21 pts
Ceara Fortaleza
LLWWLLWDLL
W 3 • D 1 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 1.3
16 place, 17 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Goias 5, draws 8, Ceara Fortaleza 2 (goals 17:16)
  • Goias — Ceara2024-08-13 2:1
  • Ceara — Goias2024-04-20 1:1
  • Ceara — Goias2022-10-05 1:1
  • Goias — Ceara2022-06-12 1:1
  • Goias — Ceara2021-01-21 0:4

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Goias
Well rested
  • Rest days: 6
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Ceara Fortaleza
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

  Goias Ceara Fortaleza
Over 2.5 20% —
Average total 2.2 —
Both teams to score (BTTS) 40% —
Matches counted 5 —

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Goias - Ceara Fortaleza

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.02 market consensus · line only
1 2.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
X2 1.65 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.54 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.16 46.3% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.02 33.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
3.65 27.4% 3.66 27.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.92 34.3%
X 1.92 52.1%
4.62 21.7%
Match center
Goias
D L
14.06 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Goias 1:1 AtletikAtletik
10.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Goias 0:4 Novorizontino
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Ceara Fortaleza
W L
10.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Ceara Fortaleza 2:1 AvaiAvai
31.05 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Ceara Fortaleza 1:2 OperarioOperario
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGoias - Ceara Fortaleza

Goias
0 matches total
Ceara Fortaleza
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history