Brazil. Serie B
Brazil. Serie B
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Londrina - CRB

Futbol
Londrina
Londrina
5 : 0
Finished
CRB
CRB

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Londrina - CRB July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CRB.

Line favourite market consensus: CRB. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.11 / 2 2.63
  • 1X2 market: Londrina 34.8% / X 29.9% / CRB 35.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 34.8%
X 29.9%
2 35.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie B
League table
Londrina
#1518 ptsGP 165-3-824:24
WDWWL
CRB
#1419 ptsGP 165-4-724:29
LWDDL
Best price across 13 books
1 2.75 Unibet
X 3.25 Unibet
2 2.83 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Londrina
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.21 Conceded 1.70 xG 0.92 xGA 1.31 Corners 4.4
CRB
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.20 xGA 1.19 Corners 5.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Londrina
Rating 1451 xG 1.08 Win 32%
CRB
Rating 1505 xG 1.26 Win 41%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Londrina
Well rested
  • Rest days: 9
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
CRB
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Londrina - CRB

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · line only
X 7.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 4.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.87 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.68 37.3% 2.69 37.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.04 32.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.08 92.6%
yes 5.80 17.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.41 70.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.41 70.9% 1.44 69.4% 5.10 19.6%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4%
5.30 18.9%
10.00 10.0%
11.50 8.7%
4.20 23.8%
10.50 9.5%
9.50 10.5%
3.10 32.3%
1.50 66.7%
4.40 22.7%
1.52 65.8%
6.10 16.4%
1.58 63.3%
1.04 96.2%
1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 11.00 9.1%
Match center
Londrina
L L
06.06 12:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Londrina 0:1 Kriciuma
31.05 12:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Londrina 0:1 Vila NovaVila Nova
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
CRB
W D L L
30.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
CRB 1:0 Botafogo San-PauluBotafogo San-Paulu
12.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
CRB 3:3 Atletiko GoyanienseAtletiko Goyaniense
07.06 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
CRB 2:3 San-BernardoSan-Bernardo
31.05 21:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
CRB 0:2 KuyabaKuyaba
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLondrina - CRB

Londrina
0 matches total
CRB
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history