Brazil. Serie B
Nautico Capibaribe face Atletiko Goyaniense on August 9, 2026 in the Brazil. Serie B.
Recent form (W-D-L): Nautico Capibaribe 1-2-2, Atletiko Goyaniense 3-1-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Nautico Capibaribe — 41%
Pure model vs market (1 · Nautico Capibaribe): model 36% · market 41% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Nautico Capibaribe 40.7%, draw 28.4%, win Atletiko Goyaniense 30.9%. Model favourite — Nautico Capibaribe.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.97 50.8% |
| yes | 1.81 55.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.31 76.3% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.92 34.3% | |
| X | 2.15 46.5% |
| 3.66 27.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.78 56.2% |
Nautico Capibaribe
Kriciuma
Londrina
Regatas
Avai
Zhuventude
Atletiko Goyaniense
Operario
Kuyaba
Atletik
Fortaleza
Full head-to-head historyNautico Capibaribe - Atletiko Goyaniense
The Nautico Capibaribe - Atletiko Goyaniense breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
