Match center
Start
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil. Serie B
Novorizontino - Atletiko Goyaniense
N
Novorizontino
3
:
0
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
2Atletiko Goyaniense — 82%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Novorizontino - Atletiko Goyaniense July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Novorizontino.
Line favourite market consensus: Novorizontino. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.27 / 2 3.94
- 1X2 market: Novorizontino 48.2% / X 28.3% / Atletiko Goyaniense 23.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1
48.2%
X
28.3%
2
23.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Serie BLeague table
Novorizontino
WWWDW
Atletiko Goyaniense
LWDDW
Best price
across 13 books
1
1.98
Betano
X
3.40
Bet365
2
4.32
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Novorizontino
W-D-L 5-4-1
Scored 1.70
Conceded 0.90
xG 1.19
xGA 1.02
Corners 4.6
Atletiko Goyaniense
W-D-L 4-5-1
Scored 1.30
Conceded 0.90
xG 1.20
xGA 1.04
Corners 6.0
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Novorizontino
Rating 1599
xG 1.35
Win 47%
Atletiko Goyaniense
Rating 1520
xG 0.93
Win 26%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Form and head-to-head • Brasileirão - Série B
Team stats
Novorizontino
WDLWDDWDWW
W 5 • D 4 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 0.9
3 place, 27 pts
Atletiko Goyaniense
DWDDLDWDDW
W 3 • D 6 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.1 : 0.8
12 place, 21 pts
Head-to-head: 4 — Novorizontino 0, draws 3, Atletiko Goyaniense 1 (goals 5:6)
- Novorizontino — Atlético Goianiense2025-09-08 1:1
- Atlético Goianiense — Novorizontino2025-05-04 1:0
- Atlético Goianiense — Novorizontino2023-11-01 2:2
- Novorizontino — Atlético Goianiense2023-07-07 2:2
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
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Match center
Novorizontino - Atletiko Goyaniense
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.94
market consensus · line only
X
4.90
Fonbet · line only
1
1.19
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.14
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X2
4.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.15
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.90
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.76
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Yes
6.20
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 4.20 23.8% | 3.92 25.5% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.07 93.5% | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 6.20 16.1% | 1.95 51.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.74 57.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 4.00 25.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.57 38.9% | |
| X | 2.05 48.8% |
| 4.93 20.3% |
Match center
Novorizontino
D
W
Novorizontino
2:2
Nautiko
Nautiko
Novorizontino
4:0
Goyas
Goyas
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Atletiko Goyaniense
D
W
Atletiko Goyaniense
3:3
Regatas
Regatas
Atletiko Goyaniense
2:1
Amerika MG
Amerika MG
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.5
Scored
2.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNovorizontino - Atletiko Goyaniense
Novorizontino
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals