Brazil. Serie B
Novorizontino meet Juventude RS on August 9, 2026 in the Brazil. Serie B.
Recent form (W-D-L): Novorizontino 2-0-3, Juventude RS 3-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Novorizontino — 46%
Pure model vs market (1 · Novorizontino): model 43% · market 45% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Novorizontino 45.7%, draw 29.9%, win Juventude RS 24.4%. Model favourite — Novorizontino.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 2.16 46.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.66 60.2% | 1.71 58.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.78 36.0% | |
| X | 1.92 52.1% |
| 5.00 20.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.31 43.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.55 64.5% |
Londrina
Kriciuma
Fortaleza
Operario
Atletiko Goyaniense
Juventude RS
Avai
Botafogo San-Paulu
Kuyaba
Vila Nova
Nautiko
Full head-to-head historyNovorizontino - Juventude RS
The Novorizontino - Juventude RS breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
