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Brazil. Serie B
Brazil. Serie B
14.06.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Novorizontino - Nautico Capibaribe

Football
N
Novorizontino
2 : 2
Finished
Nautico Capibaribe
Nautico Capibaribe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novorizontino - Nautico Capibaribe June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.70 / X 1.22 / 2 10.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 16.1%
X 75.2%
2 8.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Novorizontino - Nautico Capibaribe

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.70 27.0%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.11 90.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.32 75.8%
1.12 89.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
7.90 12.7%
9.50 10.5%
9.50 10.5%
1.45 69.0%
3.00 33.3%
5.00 20.0%
11.00 9.1%
12.00 8.3%
1.04 96.2%
1.02 98.0%
1.02 98.0%
2.55 39.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 1 3.85 26.0%
Over 1.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 2 6.00 16.7%
Over 2.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 3 3.05 32.8%
Over 3.5 4.40 22.7%
Over 4.5 11.50 8.7%
Over 5 6.90 14.5%
Over 5.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 0.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 1 1.20 83.3%
Under 1.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 2 1.08 92.6%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 3 1.30 76.9%
Under 3.5 1.16 86.2%
Under 4.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Novorizontino
W
10.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Novorizontino 4:0 GoyasGoyas
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Nautico Capibaribe
L
09.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Nautico Capibaribe 0:1 FortalezaFortaleza
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points