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Brazil. Serie B
Brazil. Serie B
12.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Operario - Novorizontino

Futbol
Operario
Operario
2 : 1
Finished
N
Novorizontino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Operario - Novorizontino July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Operario.

Line favourite market consensus: Operario. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 3.01 / 2 3.01
  • 1X2 market: Operario 38.3% / X 30.8% / Novorizontino 30.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 38.3%
X 30.8%
2 30.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie B
League table
Operario
#331 ptsGP 179-4-422:18
WWWWL
Novorizontino
#430 ptsGP 178-6-328:16
LWWWD
Best price across 14 books
1 2.59 Pinnacle
X 3.10 Unibet
2 3.13 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Operario
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.39 xG 1.12 xGA 1.05 Corners 4.3
Novorizontino
W-D-L 6-4-0 Scored 2.00 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.24 xGA 0.98 Corners 4.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Operario
Rating 1544 xG 1.13 Win 37%
Novorizontino
Rating 1613 xG 1.05 Win 33%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Operario 1 : 1 Novorizontino
12.50
X2.90
23.02

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 13:24 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 31%
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:Novorizontino ne proigraet (X2).
Claude updated11.07.2026 13:25 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 31%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 38% 31% 31% 0:0 Under 2.5 — Novorizontino ne proigraet (X2).
Claude 38% 31% 31% — — — 1

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 12:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Operario 38%
💹 Market Operario 3831%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Operario - Novorizontino

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.01 market consensus · line only
X 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.07 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.46 40.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.05 32.8% 2.91 34.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.96 33.8% 3.07 32.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.00 50.0% 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 8.00 12.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.00 14.3%
0_1 6.50 15.4%
0_2 12.00 8.3%
0_3 29.00 3.5%
0_4 76.00 1.3%
1_0 6.00 16.7%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 61.00 1.6%
2_0 9.50 10.5%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 31.00 3.2%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 21.00 4.8%
3_1 17.00 5.9%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
Match center
Operario
D L W W
07.07 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Operario 0:0 AtletikAtletik
14.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Operario 1:2 Botafogo San-PauluBotafogo San-Paulu
05.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Operario 2:1 ZhuventudeZhuventude
31.05 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Operario 2:1 SearaSeara
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Novorizontino
W D W
04.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Novorizontino 3:0 Atletiko GoyanienseAtletiko Goyaniense
14.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Novorizontino 2:2 NautikoNautiko
10.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Novorizontino 4:0 GoyasGoyas
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOperario - Novorizontino

Operario
0 matches total
Novorizontino
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history