Brazil: Copa Espirito Santo - Playoff
Vitoria Salvador - Rio-Branko
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Rio-Branko: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.49)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1 (odds 6.69).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vitoria Salvador - Rio-Branko July 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.52 / X 4.20 / 2 1.16
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Vitoria Salvador - Rio-Branko
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.16 86.2% |
| yes | 4.30 23.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 4.30 23.3% |
| x2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.44 41.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.84 54.4% | 9.00 11.1% | |
| — | — | 10.50 9.5% | |
| — | — | 6.60 15.2% | |
| — | — | 12.00 8.3% | |
| — | — | 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | 3.10 32.3% | |
| — | — | 9.00 11.1% | |
| — | — | 1.03 97.1% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 1.06 94.3% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 3 | — | — | 3.35 29.9% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 10.50 9.5% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 7.10 14.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | 1.05 95.2% |
Full head-to-head historyVitoria Salvador - Rio-Branko