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Brazil - Cup Nordeste
Brazil - Cup Nordeste Brazil
07.05.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
07.05.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil - Cup Nordeste

Brazil

Vitoria Salvador - Ceara Fortaleza

Brazil Football
Vitoria Salvador
Vitoria Salvador
1 : 0
Finished
Ceara Fortaleza
Ceara Fortaleza

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vitoria Salvador - Ceara Fortaleza May 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vitoria Salvador. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 9.50 / 2 7.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 19.1%
1 80.0%
X 8.8%
2 11.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.05.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Vitoria Salvador - Ceara Fortaleza

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.94 market consensus · line only
X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
5.25 19.1% 1.00 99.6% 1.01 99.5% 1.01 99.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.00 99.6%
X 1.25 80.0% 41.00 2.4% 34.00 2.9% 51.00 2.0% 51.00 2.0% 15.50 6.5%
7.50 13.3% 151.00 0.7% 151.00 0.7% 501.00 0.2% 51.00 2.0% 101.00 1.0%