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Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage
Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage
01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage

Bandeirante SP - Marília

Football
B
Bandeirante SP
- : -
Not started
M
Marília

Bandeirante SP face Marília on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bandeirante SP 0-1-1, Marília 1-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bandeirante SP — 49%

1 · Bandeirante SP48.9%
X · draw19.9%
2 · Marília31.1%

Model estimate: win Bandeirante SP 48.9%, draw 19.9%, win Marília 31.1%. Model favourite — Bandeirante SP.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bandeirante SP (odds2.04) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Bandeirante: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bandeirante SP - Marília August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Marília. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.40 / X 3.21 / 2 2.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 26.9%
X 28.5%
2 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Paulista
League table
Bandeirante SP
#111 ptsGP 20-1-10:1
Marília
#93 ptsGP 21-0-12:3
Best price across 8 books
1 3.50 BetVictor
X 3.30 Dafabet
2 2.10 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 26.9% @ 3.40 / X 28.5% @ 3.21 / 2 44.6% @ 2.05
Match center

Bandeirante SP - Marília

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bandeirante SP - 48.9% model pick
Draw - 19.9% draw risk
Marília - 31.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.9% / 19.9% / 31.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,383 / 1,445 Bandeirante / Marilia
RD 248 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 887-1,880 / 949-1,942 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.04 market consensus · no value · model 31.1%
X 3.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.39 market consensus · weak value +65.9% · model 48.9%
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · weak value +2.5% · model 80.1%
1X 1.67 market consensus · value +15.0% · model 68.9%
X2 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 51.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.48 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.71 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.71 58.5%
yes 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8%
x2 1.23 81.3% 1.27 78.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.22 23.7%
X 1.97 50.8%
2.74 36.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.16 46.3%
Under 1 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Bandeirante SP
L D
27.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Bandeirante SP 0:1 Gremio Prudente
18.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Bandeirante SP 0:0 Linense
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
1 Points
Marília
L W
26.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Marília 1:3 Linense
17.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Marília 1:0 Gremio Prudente
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBandeirante SP - Marília

Bandeirante SP
0 matches total
Marília
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history