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Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage
Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage
03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
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Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage

Grêmio Prudente - Linense

Football
G
Grêmio Prudente
- : -
Not started
L
Linense

Grêmio Prudente meet Linense on August 3, 2026 in the Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Grêmio Prudente 1-0-1, Linense 1-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Grêmio Prudente — 43%

Pure model vs market (1 · Grêmio Prudente): model 35% · market 44% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Grêmio Prudente42.9%
X · draw28.9%
2 · Linense28.2%

Model estimate: win Grêmio Prudente 42.9%, draw 28.9%, win Linense 28.2%. Model favourite — Grêmio Prudente.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds2.99) Score 1:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 33% on the line (odds 2.99)
  • • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Grêmio Prudente - Linense August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Grêmio Prudente. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.13 / 2 3.48

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 44.0%
X 29.5%
2 26.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Paulista
League table
Grêmio Prudente
#103 ptsGP 21-0-11:1
Linense
#74 ptsGP 21-1-03:1
Best price across 9 books
1 2.13 Dafabet
X 3.10 Bet365
2 3.60 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Grêmio Prudente
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.14 Conceded 0.59 xG 1.25 xGA 0.92
Linense
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.85 Conceded 1.14 xG 1.03 xGA 1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Grêmio Prudente
Rating 1595
Linense
Rating 1542

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Grêmio Prudente 1 : 1 Linense
12.09
X3.02
23.46

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 44.0% @ 2.10 / X 29.5% @ 3.13 / 2 26.5% @ 3.48
Match center

Grêmio Prudente - Linense

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Grêmio Prudente 43.4% 42.9% market and model agree
Draw 29.2% 28.9% draw risk
Linense 27.4% 28.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 42.9% / 28.9% / 28.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,498 / 1,673 Gremio Prudente / Atletico Linense
RD 248 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,001-1,994 / 1,177-2,170 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.37 market consensus · no value · model 28.2%
X 3.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.08 market consensus · no value · model 42.9%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 71.1%
1X 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 71.8%
X2 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 57.1%
Handicap
2 0 2.42 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.62 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
x2 1.59 62.9% 1.65 60.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.84 35.2%
X 1.88 53.2%
4.43 22.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 1 2.35 42.6%
Under 0.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 1 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Grêmio Prudente
W L
27.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Grêmio Prudente 1:0 Bandeirante
17.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Grêmio Prudente 0:1 Marilla
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Linense
W D
26.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Linense 3:1 Marilla
18.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Linense 0:0 Bandeirante
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGrêmio Prudente - Linense

Grêmio Prudente
0 matches total
Linense
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history