Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
Aymore - Santa Kruz RS
Aymore take on Santa Kruz RS on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Aymore 0-1-0, Santa Kruz RS 0-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Aymore — 49%
Pure model vs market (1 · Aymore): model 45% · market 49% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Aymore 48.9%, draw 31.0%, win Santa Kruz RS 20.1%. Model favourite — Aymore.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Aymore: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.28)
- • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aymore - Santa Kruz RS August 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 2.96 / 2 4.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Aymore - Santa Kruz RS
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.51 66.2% |
| yes | 2.39 41.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.57 38.9% | |
| X | 1.80 55.6% |
| 6.00 16.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.18 45.9% |
Santa Kruz RS
Full head-to-head historyAymore - Santa Kruz RS
Match history
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The Aymore - Santa Kruz RS breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form