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Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
05.08.2026 22:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Pelotas - Frederikoense

Football
P
Pelotas
- : -
Not started
F
Frederikoense

Pelotas take on Frederikoense on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pelotas 1-0-0, Frederikoense 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Pelotas — 41%

Pure model vs market (1 · Pelotas): model 40% · market 41% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Pelotas41.3%
X · draw30.6%
2 · Frederikoense28.0%

Model estimate: win Pelotas 41.3%, draw 30.6%, win Frederikoense 28.0%. Model favourite — Pelotas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pelotas (odds2.16) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Pelotas: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.16)
  • • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pelotas - Frederikoense August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Pelotas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.10 / 2 3.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 3 books
1 41.4%
X 31.1%
2 27.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Pelotas 3 : 0 Frederikoense
12.37
X2.82
23.09

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 23:58 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 25%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated04.08.2026 00:01 UTC
1 44% ✓ favourite
X 29%
2 27%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5 (osnovnaya), 1X — strakhovochnaya

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 42% 33% 25% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5
Claude 44% 29% 27% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5 (osnovnaya), 1X — strakhovochnaya

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 42.2% @ 2.20 / X 29.9% @ 3.10 / 2 27.9% @ 3.33
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Pelotas 43%
📐 Math model Pelotas 41%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Pelotas - Frederikoense

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pelotas 41.4% 41.3% market and model agree
Draw 31.1% 30.6% draw risk
Frederikoense 27.5% 28.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.3% / 30.6% / 28.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,626 / 1,704 Pelotas / Frederikoense
RD 291 / 273 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,044-2,208 / 1,158-2,249 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.31 market consensus · no value · model 28.0%
X 2.98 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.17 market consensus · no value · model 41.3%
Double chance
12 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 69.4%
1X 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 72.0%
X2 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 58.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.31 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.33 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.74 57.5%
yes 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5%
1x 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
x2 1.54 64.9% 1.60 62.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.00 33.3%
X 1.84 54.4%
4.28 23.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 1 2.28 43.9%
Under 0.5 2.31 43.3%
Under 1 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Pelotas
W
02.08 18:30 UTC Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
Pelotas 1:0 Lazheadense
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Frederikoense
W
02.08 18:00 UTC Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
Frederikoense 3:0 BazheBazhe
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPelotas - Frederikoense

Pelotas
0 matches total
Frederikoense
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history