Brazil. Goiano. Division 2
Goianesia - Tupy FC
Goianesia take on Tupy FC on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Goiano. Division 2.
Recent form (W-D-L): Goianesia 1-1-0, Tupy FC 1-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Goianesia — 52%
Model estimate: win Goianesia 52.4%, draw 19.6%, win Tupy FC 28.0%. Model favourite — Goianesia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Goyaneziya: probability 52% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Goianesia - Tupy FC August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.13 / 2 3.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Goianesia - Tupy FC
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 2.03 49.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% |
| x2 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.72 58.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.67 37.5% | |
| X | 1.94 51.6% |
| 4.53 22.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.22 45.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.59 62.9% |
Sao Luis
Full head-to-head historyGoianesia - Tupy FC
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Goianesia - Tupy FC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form