Brazil. Goiano. Division 2
Goianésia - Tupy FC
Goianésia take on Tupy FC on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil. Goiano. Division 2.
Recent form (W-D-L): Goianésia 1-1-0, Tupy FC 1-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Goianésia — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Goianésia): model 45% · market 46% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Goianésia 45.4%, draw 28.9%, win Tupy FC 25.7%. Model favourite — Goianésia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Goyaneziya: probability 52% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Goianésia - Tupy FC August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.13 / 2 3.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Goiano - 2Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Goianésia - Tupy FC
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.71 58.5% |
| yes | 2.01 49.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% |
| x2 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.72 58.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.69 37.2% | |
| X | 1.94 51.6% |
| 4.49 22.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.22 45.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.59 62.9% |
Sao Luis
Full head-to-head historyGoianésia - Tupy FC
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Goianésia - Tupy FC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form