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Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. Second leg
Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. Second leg
04.08.2026 17:45 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 17:45 UTC
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Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. Second leg

Marica - Boavista Saquarema

Football
Marica
Marica
- : -
Not started
Boavista Saquarema
Boavista Saquarema

Marica take on Boavista Saquarema on August 4, 2026 in the Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. Second leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marica 1-0-0, Boavista Saquarema 1-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Boavista Saquarema — 49%

1 · Marica30.6%
X · draw20.3%
2 · Boavista Saquarema49.1%

Model estimate: win Marica 30.6%, draw 20.3%, win Boavista Saquarema 49.1%. Model favourite — Boavista Saquarema.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Boavista Saquarema (odds2.47) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Boavishta: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.47)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marica - Boavista Saquarema August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

Marica - Boavista Saquarema

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Marica - 30.6%
Draw - 20.3% draw risk
Boavista Saquarema - 49.1% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.6% / 20.3% / 49.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,540 / 1,708 Marica / Boavista Saquarema
RD 145 / 245 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,249-1,830 / 1,218-2,199 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Marica
W
22.07 15:45 UTC Brazil: Kopa Rio
Marica 3:0 Perolas NegrasPerolas Negras
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Boavista Saquarema
W
22.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Kopa Rio
Boavista Saquarema 4:0 CEAC/AraruamaCEAC/Araruama
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points