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Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. Second leg
Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. Second leg
01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. Second leg

Portugeza RZh - Madureira RJ

Football
P
Portugeza RZh
- : -
Not started
Madureira RJ
Madureira RJ

Portugeza RZh take on Madureira RJ on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. Second leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Portugeza RZh 1-0-0, Madureira RJ 0-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Madureira RJ — 53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Madureira RJ): model 32% · market 41% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Portugeza RZh26.5%
X · draw20.3%
2 · Madureira RJ53.3%

Model estimate: win Portugeza RZh 26.5%, draw 20.3%, win Madureira RJ 53.3%. Model favourite — Madureira RJ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Madureira RJ (odds2.11) Score 1:2 confidence 53%
  • • Model backs Madureyra: probability 53% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portugeza RZh - Madureira RJ August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Madureira RJ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / X 3.65 / 2 2.11

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 15.1%
1 35.0%
X 23.8%
2 41.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 35.0% @ 2.48 / X 23.8% @ 3.65 / 2 41.2% @ 2.11
Match center

Portugeza RZh - Madureira RJ

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Portugeza RZh 35.0% 26.5%
Draw 23.8% 20.3% draw risk
Madureira RJ 41.2% 53.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.5% / 20.3% / 53.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,600 / 1,588 Portugeza RZh / Madureira RJ
RD 203 / 211 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,194-2,005 / 1,165-2,011 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.11 market consensus · value +12.4% · model 53.3%
X 3.65 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.48 market consensus · no value · model 26.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.62 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.88 53.2%
1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 3 1.59 62.9%
Under 3 1.92 52.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
2.48 40.3%
X 3.65 27.4%
2.11 47.4%
Match center
Portugeza RZh
W
22.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: Kopa Rio
Portugeza RZh 1:0 Amerikano
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Madureira RJ
D
22.07 15:45 UTC Brazil: Kopa Rio
Madureira RJ 1:1 BonsukessoBonsukesso
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points