Match center
Start
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Maranhense 2 Standings
Expressinho - San Zhoze MA
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Expressinho - San Zhoze MA 4 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.60 / X 1.35 / 2 6.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.7%
1
19.6%
X
66.9%
2
13.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Expressinho - San Zhoze MA
Form
0/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.70
Fonbet · line only
X
1.35
Fonbet · line only
1
4.60
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
2.70
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.08
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.15
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
2.30
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.80
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.38
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.99
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.73
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.99 50.3% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 2.70 37.0% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 1.15 87.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.36 29.8% |
| Х | 2.16 46.3% |
| П2 | 2.86 35.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1 | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТМ 1 | 1.88 53.2% |
Match center
San Zhoze MA
W
San Zhoze MA
3:2
Tupan
Tupan
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyExpressinho - San Zhoze MA
Expressinho
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals