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Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff
Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff
02.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff

Mamoré - Democrata SL

Football
Mamoré
Mamoré
- : -
Not started
Democrata SL
Democrata SL

Mamoré go head-to-head with Democrata SL on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mamoré 0-1-0, Democrata SL 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Democrata SL35%

Pure model vs market (2 · Democrata SL): model 45% · market 34% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Mamoré34.2%
X · draw30.8%
2 · Democrata SL35.0%

Model estimate: win Mamoré 34.2%, draw 30.8%, win Democrata SL 35.0%. Model favourite — Democrata SL.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Democrata SL (odds2.13) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Demokrata SL: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.13)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mamoré - Democrata SL August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Democrata SL. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 2.90 / 2 2.67

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 34.1%
X 31.6%
2 34.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Mineiro - 2
League table
Mamoré
#716 ptsGP 124-4-410:10
Democrata SL
#223 ptsGP 127-2-325:12
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Mamoré
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.70 Conceded 0.70 xG 0.88 xGA 1.12
Democrata SL
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Mamoré
Rating 1487
Democrata SL
Rating 1625

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mamoré 1 : 1 Democrata SL
12.65
X2.85
22.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Market 1 34.1% @ 2.69 / X 31.6% @ 2.90 / 2 34.3% @ 2.67
Match center

Mamoré - Democrata SL

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mamoré 34.3% 34.2%
Draw 31.4% 30.8% draw risk
Democrata SL 34.4% 35.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.2% / 30.8% / 35.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,474 / 1,707 Mamore / Demokrata SL
RD 182 / 180 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,111-1,838 / 1,347-2,067 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.64 market consensus · no value · model 35.0%
X 2.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.67 market consensus · no value · model 34.2%
Double chance
12 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 69.2%
1X 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 65.0%
X2 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 65.8%
Handicap
2 0 1.83 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.86 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.62 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5%
1x 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4%
x2 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.60 27.8%
X 1.85 54.1%
3.42 29.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.58 63.3%
Under 0.5 2.24 44.6%
Match center
Mamoré
D
25.07 19:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff
Mamoré 0:0 Uberaba
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Democrata SL
W
25.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff
Democrata SL 2:1 Patrosinense
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMamoré - Democrata SL

Mamoré
0 matches total
Democrata SL
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history