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Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff
Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff
02.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff

Villa Nova - Aymorés

Football
Villa Nova
Villa Nova
- : -
Not started
Aymorés
Aymorés

Villa Nova face Aymorés on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff.

Recent form (W-D-L): Villa Nova 0-1-0, Aymorés 0-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Villa Nova38%

Pure model vs market (1 · Villa Nova): model 36% · market 38% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Villa Nova37.8%
X · draw31.2%
2 · Aymorés31.0%

Model estimate: win Villa Nova 37.8%, draw 31.2%, win Aymorés 31.0%. Model favourite — Villa Nova.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Villa Nova (odds2.40) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Villa-Nova: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villa Nova - Aymorés August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Villa Nova. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 2.90 / 2 3.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 38.0%
X 31.5%
2 30.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Mineiro - 2
League table
Villa Nova
#518 ptsGP 125-3-419:13
Aymorés
#420 ptsGP 125-5-220:10
Best price across 7 books
1 2.47 Dafabet
X 2.95 Dafabet
2 3.00 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Villa Nova
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 0.90 xG 0.97 xGA 1.08
Aymorés
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.70 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.16 xGA 1.04

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Villa Nova
Rating 1580 xG 1.29 Win 38%
Aymorés
Rating 1605 xG 1.25 Win 36%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Villa Nova 1 : 1 Aymorés
12.40
X2.88
22.98

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 38.0% @ 2.41 / X 31.5% @ 2.90 / 2 30.5% @ 3.00
Match center

Villa Nova - Aymorés

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Villa Nova 37.9% 37.8% market and model agree
Draw 31.8% 31.2% draw risk
Aymorés 30.4% 31.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 37.8% / 31.2% / 31.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,546 / 1,695 Villa Nova / Aymores
RD 162 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,222-1,870 / 1,360-2,030 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.98 market consensus · no value · model 31.0%
X 2.87 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.40 market consensus · no value · model 37.8%
Double chance
12 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 68.8%
1X 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 69.0%
X2 1.48 market consensus · no value · model 62.2%
Handicap
2 0 2.06 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
x2 1.45 69.0% 1.51 66.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.19 31.4%
X 1.84 54.4%
3.95 25.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.58 63.3%
Under 0.5 2.24 44.6%
Match center
Villa Nova
D
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff
Villa Nova 0:0 ValeriodoceValeriodoce
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Aymorés
D
26.07 11:30 UTC Brazil: Mineiro 2 - Playoff
Aymorés 1:1 Boa
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVilla Nova - Aymorés

Villa Nova
0 matches total
Aymorés
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history