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Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
31.07.2026 11:00 UTC
31.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings

Itabirito U20 - Athletic Minas Gerais U20

Football
I
Itabirito U20
- : -
Not started
Athletic Minas Gerais U20
Athletic Minas Gerais U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Itabirito U20 — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Itabirito U20): model 49% · market 26% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Itabirito U2058.3%
market26%
X · draw19.9%
market26%
2 · Athletic Minas Gerais U2021.8%
market48%

Model estimate: win Itabirito U20 58.3%, draw 19.9%, win Athletic Minas Gerais U20 21.8%. Model favourite — Itabirito U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Itabirito U20 - Athletic Minas Gerais U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Minas Gerais U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.44 / X 3.49 / 2 1.91

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 26.4%
X 26.0%
2 47.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Itabirito U20 1 : 1 Athletic Minas Gerais U20
13.41
X3.42
21.94

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Itabirito U20 - Athletic Minas Gerais U20

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Itabirito U20 26.4% 58.3% Glicko contrarian
Draw 26.0% 19.9% draw risk
Athletic Minas Gerais U20 47.6% 21.8% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.3% / 19.9% / 21.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,564 / 1,473 Itabirito U20 / Athletic Minas Gerais U20
RD 206 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,153-1,976 / 1,068-1,879 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.91 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 21.8%
X 3.49 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.44 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 58.3%
Handicap
2 0 1.46 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.70 58.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.04 24.8%
X 2.15 46.5%
2.51 39.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.77 56.5%
Under 1 1.94 51.6%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.50 40.0%
1.46 68.5%
Match center
Itabirito U20
W L
17.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Itabirito U20 2:0 Social U20Social U20
11.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Itabirito U20 1:3 Betim U20Betim U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Athletic Minas Gerais U20
L W
17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Athletic Minas Gerais U20 0:1 Nacional Muriyae U20
11.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Athletic Minas Gerais U20 2:1 Amerika Mineyro U20Amerika Mineyro U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points