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Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings

Kruzeyro U20 - Amerika Mineyro U20

Football
Kruzeyro U20
Kruzeyro U20
- : -
Not started
Amerika Mineyro U20
Amerika Mineyro U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kruzeyro U20 — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kruzeyro U20): model 56% · market 53% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Kruzeyro U2052.8%
X · draw24.5%
2 · Amerika Mineyro U2022.8%

Model estimate: win Kruzeyro U20 52.8%, draw 24.5%, win Amerika Mineyro U20 22.8%. Model favourite — Kruzeyro U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kruzeyro U20 - Amerika Mineyro U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kruzeyro U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 3.70 / 2 4.24

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 53.3%
X 24.9%
2 21.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Kruzeyro U20 - Amerika Mineyro U20

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kruzeyro U20 52.6% 52.8% market and model agree
Draw 24.7% 24.5% draw risk
Amerika Mineyro U20 22.7% 22.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.8% / 24.5% / 22.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,560 / 1,328 Kruzeyro U20 / Amerika Mineyro U20
RD 205 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,150-1,969 / 942-1,713 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.12 market consensus · no value · model 22.8%
X 3.63 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.73 market consensus · no value · model 52.8%
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 75.5%
1X 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 77.2%
X2 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 47.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.30 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.17 85.5%
x2 1.90 52.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.27 44.1%
X 2.13 47.0%
4.99 20.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.85 54.1%
Under 1 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Kruzeyro U20
L
19.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Kruzeyro U20 1:2 Atletiko Mineyro U20Atletiko Mineyro U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Amerika Mineyro U20
L L
17.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Amerika Mineyro U20 0:2 Boston Siti U20
11.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Amerika Mineyro U20 1:2 Atletik U20Atletik U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points