Brazil. Paranaense. Division 3
Popayan go head-to-head with Tigres FC on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Paranaense. Division 3.
Recent form (W-D-L): Popayan 0-1-0, Tigres FC 0-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Popayan the favourite at about 49%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Popayan — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · Popayan): model 54% · market 49% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Popayan 49.6%, draw 26.9%, win Tigres FC 23.5%. Model favourite — Popayan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Popayan.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
score 0:0 · 10'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 3.85 26.0% | 3.96 25.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.52 65.8% | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 2.35 42.6% | 2.00 50.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.78 56.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
Tigres FC
Full head-to-head historyPopayan - Tigres FC
The Popayan - Tigres FC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
