Brazil. Paranaense. Division 3
Real Soacha meet Real Cartagena on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Paranaense. Division 3.
Recent form (W-D-L): Real Soacha 0-0-1, Real Cartagena 1-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Real Cartagena — 36%
Pure model vs market (2 · Real Cartagena): model 41% · market 36% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Real Soacha 33.3%, draw 30.8%, win Real Cartagena 36.0%. Model favourite — Real Cartagena.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.76 56.8% |
| yes | 1.96 51.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% |
| x2 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.53 28.3% | |
| X | 1.94 51.6% |
| 3.32 30.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.36 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
Envigado
Real Cartagena
Full head-to-head historyReal Soacha - Real Cartagena
The Real Soacha - Real Cartagena breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
