Match center
Start
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
America SP - Santakruzense
A
America SP
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction America SP - Santakruzense July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: America SP. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 5.70 / 2 13.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 24.2%
1
79.7%
X
14.1%
2
6.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Paulista Serie B - Round of 16
Team stats
America SP
DLWDDWWWDD
W 4 • D 5 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 0.7
2 place, 19 pts
Santakruzense
LLWDWLWLDD
W 3 • D 3 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.3
4 place, 15 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — America SP 0, draws 1, Santakruzense 0 (goals 0:0)
- Santacruzense — América SP2026-06-28 0:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
America SP - Santakruzense
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.00
market consensus · line only
X
5.70
Fonbet · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.11
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.84
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.45
market consensus · line only
2 0
9.00
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.53
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.18
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.05
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.18 84.8% |
| yes | 4.05 24.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.90 52.6% | 11.00 9.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 40.0% | 2.55 39.2% | — | |
| — | — | 1.10 90.9% | |
| — | — | 6.10 16.4% | |
| — | — | 7.50 13.3% | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| 1.34 74.6% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | — | |
| — | — | 5.50 18.2% | |
| — | — | 1.08 92.6% | |
| — | — | 1.04 96.2% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 9.00 11.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 7.60 13.2% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 11.50 8.7% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 8.00 12.5% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | 2.75 36.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.68 59.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 5.5 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAmerica SP - Santakruzense
America SP
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals