Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Flamengo SP - Odeks-SP
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Xdraw — odds 4.41 · edge +8.8% · 2 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Flamengo SP - Odeks-SP July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 1.55 / 2 7.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Flamengo SP - Odeks-SP
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% | 1.76 56.8% |
| yes | 2.20 45.5% | 2.03 49.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% | 2.25 44.4% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 1.87 53.5% | 8.50 11.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.70 14.9% | |
| X | 2.32 43.1% |
| 2.00 50.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
Full head-to-head historyFlamengo SP - Odeks-SP