Match center
Start
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Itaqua - Paulinia FU
I
Itaqua
3
:
0
Finished
P
Paulinia FU
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Itaqua - Paulinia FU July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Itaqua. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / X 2.90 / 2 8.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 39.7%
1
66.9%
X
24.7%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Paulista Serie B - Round of 16
Team stats
Itaqua
WWDWWWWWLW
W 8 • D 1 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:2.3 : 0.7
1 place, 25 pts
Paulinia FU
LWDLLLLLWL
W 2 • D 1 • L 7 (10)
Goals average:1 : 1.7
5 place, 10 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Itaqua 1, draws 0, Paulinia FU 0 (goals 3:1)
- Paulínia — Itaquá2026-06-28 1:3
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Itaqua - Paulinia FU
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.50
Fonbet · line only
X
2.90
Fonbet · line only
1
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.35
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.06
Fonbet · line only
X2
6.30
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
5.30
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.95
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.32
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.14 87.7% |
| yes | 4.70 21.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.35 74.1% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 2.95 33.9% | 6.30 15.9% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.04 96.2% | |
| — | 3.70 27.0% | |
| — | 5.00 20.0% | |
| — | 10.50 9.5% | |
| — | 1.10 90.9% | |
| 1.76 56.8% | — | |
| — | 7.70 13.0% | |
| — | 1.20 83.3% | |
| — | 1.12 89.3% | |
| — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | 5.30 18.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 2.95 33.9% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 5.20 19.2% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 11.00 9.1% |
| Under 0.5 | — | 2.80 35.7% |
| Under 1.5 | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.94 51.6% | 1.32 75.8% |
| Under 3.5 | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Under 4.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyItaqua - Paulinia FU
Itaqua
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals