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Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff

Jose Bonifacio EC - Manthiqueira

Futbol
J
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Finished
M
Manthiqueira

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jose Bonifacio EC - Manthiqueira July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jose Bonifacio EC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 1.55 / 2 8.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 75.1%
1 56.0%
X 36.9%
2 7.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Paulista Serie B - Round of 16

Team stats

Jose Bonifacio EC
WWDDWWDWDW
W 6 • D 4 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.6
1 place, 22 pts
Manthiqueira
DLWDWLLWWL
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.7 : 1.6
4 place, 14 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Jose Bonifacio EC 1, draws 0, Manthiqueira 0 (goals 2:0)
  • Manthiqueira — José Bonifácio2026-06-27 0:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Jose Bonifacio EC - Manthiqueira

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 3.30 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 4.05 24.7%
yes 1.18 84.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.25 44.4%
1x 1.07 93.5%
x2 9.00 11.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
9.00 11.1%
9.00 11.1%
11.50 8.7%
1.25 80.0%
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%
1.03 97.1%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
3.30 30.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 3.5 6.80 14.7%
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 5.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 4.05 24.7%
Under 1.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 3.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 5.5 1.01 99.0%