Match center
Start
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Matonense - Assisense
M
Matonense
0
:
0
Finished
A
Assisense
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Matonense - Assisense July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.30 / X 1.18 / 2 11.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.3%
1
14.5%
X
77.5%
2
8.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Paulista Serie B - Round of 16
Team stats
Matonense
WWWWLWDWWW
W 8 • D 1 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:2.9 : 0.8
2 place, 22 pts
Assisense
WWDDDDWLDL
W 3 • D 5 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.7 : 1.5
3 place, 14 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Matonense 1, draws 0, Assisense 0 (goals 1:0)
- Assisense — Matonense2026-06-27 0:1
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Matonense - Assisense
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.39
market consensus · line only
X
1.18
Fonbet · line only
1
6.30
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
4.10
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.56
market consensus · line only
2 0
2.90
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.24
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.35
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Yes
9.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.02 98.0% |
| yes | 9.50 10.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 1.60 62.5% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.09 91.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.23 44.8% | 2.25 44.4% | — | |
| — | — | 7.70 13.0% | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | — | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| — | — | 1.04 96.2% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.47 40.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.90 34.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 3.85 26.0% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 8.50 11.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | 12.00 8.3% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMatonense - Assisense
Matonense
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals