Match center
Start
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Maua - Uniao Mogi
M
Maua
0
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Maua - Uniao Mogi July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Uniao Mogi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / X 5.40 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 29.3%
1
9.1%
X
14.3%
2
76.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Paulista Serie B - Round of 16
Team stats
Maua
DWDWLDDLWW
W 4 • D 4 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:2 : 1.7
2 place, 16 pts
Uniao Mogi
DLLLWWDWWL
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 1.6
3 place, 14 pts
Head-to-head: 7 — Maua 4, draws 3, Uniao Mogi 0 (goals 13:9)
- União Mogi — Mauá2026-06-27 2:3
- Mauá — União Mogi2026-06-06 0:0
- União Mogi — Mauá2026-05-03 2:3
- União Mogi — Mauá2025-06-14 2:3
- Mauá — União Mogi2025-05-10 3:3
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Maua - Uniao Mogi
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X
5.40
Fonbet · line only
1
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.11
Fonbet · line only
1X
9.50
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.05
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.46
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.07
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.49
market consensus · line only
1 0
6.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
4.05
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.19 84.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 9.50 10.5% |
| x2 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.05 95.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 13.00 7.7% | |
| — | — | 3.85 26.0% | |
| 2.47 40.5% | 2.50 40.0% | — | |
| — | — | 7.90 12.7% | |
| — | — | 5.50 18.2% | |
| 1.39 71.9% | 1.40 71.4% | — | |
| 1.45 69.0% | 1.47 68.0% | — | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 1.22 82.0% | |
| — | — | 9.50 10.5% | |
| — | — | 1.05 95.2% | |
| — | — | 1.11 90.1% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.70 37.0% | 1.07 93.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 5.60 17.9% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 5.50 18.2% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | 4.50 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | 4.05 24.7% |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Under 5.5 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMaua - Uniao Mogi
Maua
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals