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Start
14.06.2026 11:00 UTC
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14.06.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
Itaqua - Maua
I
Itaqua
5
:
1
Finished
M
Maua
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Itaqua - Maua June 14, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Itaqua. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 3.80 / 2 6.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.6%
1
60.8%
X
24.0%
2
15.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Itaqua - Maua
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.80
market consensus · line only
X
3.80
market consensus · line only
1
1.49
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.87
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| 3.45 29.0% | |
| 1.33 75.2% | |
| 1.25 80.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bettery | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 6.5 | — | — | 3.45 29.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 5.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 6.5 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bettery |
|---|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% |
| 6.00 16.7% | 5.60 17.9% |
Match center
Itaqua
W
W
Itaqua
2:0
Manthiqueira
Itaqua
1:0
Barcelona SP
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.5
Scored
0.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyItaqua - Maua
Itaqua
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form