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Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
14.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg

Jose Bonifacio EC - Assisense

Football
J
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Finished
A
Assisense

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jose Bonifacio EC - Assisense June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jose Bonifacio EC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / X 3.75 / 2 11.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 20.8%
1 70.7%
X 22.1%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Jose Bonifacio EC - Assisense

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.75 Fonbet · line only
1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.23 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 6.70 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.50 66.7%
yes 2.40 41.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 4.20 23.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%
1.06 94.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
6.70 14.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 1.5 — — — 6.20 16.1%
Over 2.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 5.50 18.2%
Over 3.5 — — — 11.50 8.7%
Over 4.5 — — — 11.50 8.7%
Under 1.5 — — — 1.07 93.5%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.10 90.9%
Under 3.5 — — — 1.01 99.0%
Under 4.5 — — — 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Assisense
W
05.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B Standings
Assisense 4:2 Santa Fe SP
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points