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Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
13.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg

Mogi Mirim - Santakruzense

Football
Mogi Mirim
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Finished
Santakruzense
Santakruzense

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mogi Mirim - Santakruzense June 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mogi Mirim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / X 4.40 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 70.7%
X 20.9%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Mogi Mirim - Santakruzense

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 7.50 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.43 69.9%
yes 2.65 37.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 3.15 31.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
1.01 99.0%
5.90 17.0%
8.50 11.8%
1.05 95.2%
7.60 13.2%
12.00 8.3%
1.08 92.6%
1.03 97.1%
7.50 13.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 1.5 3.35 29.9%
Over 2.5 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 3.80 26.3%
Over 3.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 4.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.20 83.3%
Under 3.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 4.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Mogi Mirim
W
07.06 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B Standings
Mogi Mirim 6:0 Katanduvense
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Santakruzense
W W
07.06 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B Standings
Santakruzense 1:0 Independente SPIndependente SP
31.05 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B Standings
Santakruzense 8:0 Matonense
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMogi Mirim - Santakruzense

Mogi Mirim
0 matches total
Santakruzense
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history