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Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
13.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg

San Karlos - Independente SP

Football
San Karlos
San Karlos
2 : 0
Finished
Independente SP
Independente SP

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San Karlos - Independente SP June 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: San Karlos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 7.10 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 19.8%
1 81.8%
X 11.8%
2 6.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

San Karlos - Independente SP

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.21 market consensus · line only
X 7.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.50 66.7%
yes 2.40 41.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 9.50 10.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
5.30 18.9%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
3.45 29.0%
1.11 90.1%
1.01 99.0%
12.00 8.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5% 3.10 32.3%
Over 3.5 4.80 20.8%
Over 4.5 10.50 9.5%
Over 5.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 2.5 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.30 76.9%
Under 3.5 1.13 88.5%
Under 4.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 5.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center
San Karlos
D
07.06 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B Standings
San Karlos 1:1 Matonense
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points