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Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
12.06.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg

Santa Fe SP - America SP

Football
S
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3
Finished
A
America SP

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santa Fe SP - America SP June 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / X 1.75 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 6.1%
X 52.3%
2 41.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Paulista Série B
League table
Santa Fe SP
#63 ptsGP 81-0-77:16
LLLLL
America SP
#215 ptsGP 84-3-19:5
WWDDW
Best price across 6 books
1 8.00 William Hill
X 4.20 Marathonbet
2 1.42 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Santa Fe SP
W-D-L 1-0-7 Scored 0.87 Conceded 2.01 xG 1.23 xGA 1.41
1 -2.00 X -2.00 2 +2.52 1 (DNB) +0.00
America SP
W-D-L 4-3-1 Scored 1.13 Conceded 0.63 xG 1.47 xGA 1.05
1 +0.50 X +0.05 2 -3.00 1 (DNB) +0.41

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 12.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Santa Fe SP - America SP

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 Fonbet · line only
X 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.92 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.58 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 0 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.12 89.3%
yes 5.00 20.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.92 52.1%
1x 1.58 63.3%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.30 76.9%
1.09 91.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.08 92.6%
12.00 8.3%
6.10 16.4%
3.05 32.8%
5.60 17.9%
11.00 9.1%
5.80 17.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.08 92.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 2.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 4.5 6.10 16.4%
Over 5.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 0.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 1.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 2.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 3.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Under 5.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Santa Fe SP
L
05.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B Standings
Santa Fe SP 2:4 Assisense
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
America SP
W
06.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B Standings
America SP 3:1 Tupa
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySanta Fe SP - America SP

Santa Fe SP
0 matches total
America SP
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history