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Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
31.05.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
31.05.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg

Santakruzense - Matonense

Football
Santakruzense
Santakruzense
8 : 0
Finished
M
Matonense

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santakruzense - Matonense May 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Matonense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.50 / X 3.00 / 2 1.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 8.6%
X 30.1%
2 61.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.05.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Santakruzense - Matonense

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 Fonbet · line only
X 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.35 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 0 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9%
1x 2.35 42.6%
x2 1.03 97.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
1.04 96.2%
5.00 20.0%
6.70 14.9%
10.00 10.0%
9.00 11.1%
1.14 87.7%
1.07 93.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 2.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 3.5 5.00 20.0%
Over 4.5 5.10 19.6%
Over 5.5 4.90 20.4%
Under 1.5 6.60 15.2%
Under 2.5 3.90 25.6%
Under 3.5 1.14 87.7%
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5%
Under 5.5 1.14 87.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
10.50 9.5%
X 3.00 33.3%
1.47 68.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historySantakruzense - Matonense

Santakruzense
0 matches total
Matonense
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history