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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Agua Santa U20 - Sfera U20

Football
Agua Santa U20
Agua Santa U20
- : -
Not started
Sfera U20
Sfera U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Agua Santa U20 — 45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Agua Santa U20): model 44% · market 45% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Agua Santa U2045.2%
X · draw25.2%
2 · Sfera U2029.6%

Model estimate: win Agua Santa U20 45.2%, draw 25.2%, win Sfera U20 29.6%. Model favourite — Agua Santa U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Agua Santa U20 - Sfera U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Agua Santa U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.60 / 2 3.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 45.2%
X 25.5%
2 29.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Agua Santa U20 2 : 2 Sfera U20
11.86
X3.58
23.99

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Agua Santa U20 - Sfera U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Agua Santa U20 45.3% 45.2% market and model agree
Draw 25.3% 25.2% draw risk
Sfera U20 29.4% 29.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 45.2% / 25.2% / 29.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,624 / 1,602 Agua Santa U20 / Sfera U20
RD 178 / 163 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,268-1,980 / 1,276-1,927 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 market consensus · no value · model 29.6%
X 3.53 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.01 market consensus · no value · model 45.2%
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 74.8%
1X 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 70.4%
X2 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 54.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.33 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.18 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.18 45.9%
yes 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.28 78.1%
x2 1.64 61.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.63 38.0%
X 2.16 46.3%
3.74 26.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.68 59.5%
Under 1 2.06 48.5%
Match center
Agua Santa U20
D W D D W
24.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Agua Santa U20 0:0 Ituano U20
12.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Agua Santa U20 1:0 Porto Football U20Porto Football U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Agua Santa U20 2:2 Osasko U20Osasko U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Agua Santa U20 1:1 Maua U20Maua U20
05.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Agua Santa U20 2:1 Referencia U20Referencia U20
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Sfera U20
L W W L W
24.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sfera U20 0:1 Osasko U20Osasko U20
17.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sfera U20 3:0 Tanabi U20Tanabi U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sfera U20 71:63 Flamengo SP U20Flamengo SP U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sfera U20 0:2 Guarani U20Guarani U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sfera U20 6:0 Maua U20Maua U20
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
16.0 Scored
13.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAgua Santa U20 - Sfera U20

Agua Santa U20
0 matches total
Sfera U20
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history