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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Aguai U20 - Botafogo SP U20

Futbol
Aguai U20
Aguai U20
1 : 1
Finished
Botafogo SP U20
Botafogo SP U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aguai U20 - Botafogo SP U20 4 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.60 / X 1.38 / 2 6.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 19.9%
X 66.3%
2 13.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Npl Nsw U20
League table
Aguai U20
#1026 ptsGP 227-5-1032:38
DWWDW
Botafogo SP U20
#342 ptsGP 2213-3-649:35
DWWWW
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Aguai U20
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 2.10 Conceded 1.90
Botafogo SP U20
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.51 Conceded 1.70

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Form and head-to-head • Paulista U20 - 1st Stage - Grupo 2

Team stats

Aguai U20
LWLLWLLLWD
W 3 • D 1 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 2
13 place, 3 pts
Botafogo SP U20
LLWWWWDLDD
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1
14 place, 2 pts

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Aguai U20
Well rested
  • Rest days: 8
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Botafogo SP U20
Well rested
  • Rest days: 8
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Aguai U20 - Botafogo SP U20

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.60 Fonbet · line only
X 1.38 Fonbet · line only
1 4.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.07 48.3% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 2.70 37.0%
1x 1.93 51.8% 1.09 91.7%
x2 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 5.40 18.5%
Х 2.22 45.1%
П2 2.11 47.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1 1.70 58.8%
ТМ 1 2.03 49.3%
Match center
Aguai U20
D W
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Aguai U20 2:2 Velo Klub U20Velo Klub U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Aguai U20 1:0 Paulinense U20Paulinense U20
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Botafogo SP U20
D D L
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Botafogo SP U20 1:1 Pirasikaba U20Pirasikaba U20
05.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Botafogo SP U20 1:1 Uniau San-Zhoau U20Uniau San-Zhoau U20
31.05 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Botafogo SP U20 1:2 San-Kaetano U20
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
2 Points