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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. U20. Paulista

America SP U20 - Mirassol U20

Football
America SP U20
America SP U20
- : -
Not started
Mirassol U20
Mirassol U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 America SP U20 — 46%

Pure model vs market (1 · America SP U20): model 39% · market 17% Δ +22 pp model estimates above the market

1 · America SP U2046.4%
X · draw21.4%
2 · Mirassol U2032.2%

Model estimate: win America SP U20 46.4%, draw 21.4%, win Mirassol U20 32.2%. Model favourite — America SP U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction America SP U20 - Mirassol U20 July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mirassol U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.20 / X 3.99 / 2 1.52

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 17.5%
X 22.8%
2 59.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

America SP U20 1 : 1 Mirassol U20
15.44
X3.92
21.51

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

America SP U20 - Mirassol U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
America SP U20 17.5% 46.4% Glicko contrarian
Draw 22.8% 21.4% draw risk
Mirassol U20 59.8% 32.2% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.4% / 21.4% / 32.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,263 / 1,350 America SP U20 / Mirassol U20
RD 187 / 198 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 889-1,637 / 955-1,745 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 32.2%
X 3.99 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.20 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 46.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.76 56.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.40 18.5%
X 2.29 43.7%
2.05 48.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.65 60.6%
Under 1 2.11 47.4%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
Match center
America SP U20
L L W L L
25.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
America SP U20 0:2 Sertaozinho U20
17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
America SP U20 2:3 Itapirense U20Itapirense U20
09.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
America SP U20 1:0 Jabaquara U20Jabaquara U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
America SP U20 0:2 San-Bento U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
America SP U20 0:4 Ferroviariya U20Ferroviariya U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Mirassol U20
D D W D L
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Mirassol U20 1:1 Ferroviariya U20Ferroviariya U20
18.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Mirassol U20 2:2 San-Bento U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Mirassol U20 71:63 Portugeza Santista U20Portugeza Santista U20
05.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Mirassol U20 2:2 Uniao Suzano U20Uniao Suzano U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Mirassol U20 0:1 Jabaquara U20Jabaquara U20
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
15.2 Scored
13.8 Conceded
6 Points