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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Canoense U20 - Sao Bento U20

Football
C
Canoense U20
- : -
Not started
S
Sao Bento U20

Canoense U20 take on Sao Bento U20 on August 7, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Paulista.

Recent form (W-D-L): Canoense U20 3-1-1, Sao Bento U20 2-2-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Canoense U2060%

1 · Canoense U20 ✓ Pick59.7%
market76%
X · draw19.6%
market16%
2 · Sao Bento U2020.8%
market8%

Model estimate: win Canoense U20 59.7%, draw 19.6%, win Sao Bento U20 20.8%. Model favourite — Canoense U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canoense U20 - Sao Bento U20 August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Canoense U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / X 6.00 / 2 12.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7% 2 books · best price +2.1%
1 ✓ Pick 76.3%
X 16.1%
2 7.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Canoense U20
76%
1.21
Draw
16%
6.00
Sao Bento U20
8%
12.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 76.8% @ 1.21 / X 15.5% @ 6.00 / 2 7.7% @ 12.00
Match center

Canoense U20 - Sao Bento U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Canoense U20 - 59.7% model pick
Draw - 19.6% draw risk
Sao Bento U20 - 20.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.7% / 19.6% / 20.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,722 / 1,512 Canoense U20 / Sao Bento U20
RD 140 / 180 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,442-2,002 / 1,151-1,873 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.65 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 59.7%
Double chance
12 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 80.4%
X2 4.00 market consensus · no value · model 40.3%
Total
Over 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.06 94.3%
x2 4.00 25.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.62 61.7%
X 2.70 37.0%
8.10 12.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.04 49.0%
Under 1.5 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Canoense U20
W L W W D
02.08 18:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Canoense U20 2:0 Yuventus U20Yuventus U20
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Canoense U20 1:2 Portugeza U20Portugeza U20
18.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Canoense U20 2:1 Ferroviariya U20Ferroviariya U20
11.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Canoense U20 6:0 Uniao Suzano U20Uniao Suzano U20
04.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Canoense U20 0:0 Ponte-Preta U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Sao Bento U20
D W D L W
31.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 0:0 Itapirense U20Itapirense U20
24.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 3:0 Jabaquara U20Jabaquara U20
18.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 2:2 Mirassol U20Mirassol U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 63:71 Yuventus U20Yuventus U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 2:0 America SP U20America SP U20
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
14.0 Scored
14.6 Conceded
8 Points