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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. U20. Paulista

FC Sao Paulo U20 - Botafogo SP U20

Football
FC Sao Paulo U20
FC Sao Paulo U20
- : -
Not started
Botafogo SP U20
Botafogo SP U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 FC Sao Paulo U2070%

Pure model vs market (1 · FC Sao Paulo U20): model 50% · market 71% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · FC Sao Paulo U20 ✓ Pick70.0%
market71%
X · draw19.4%
market19%
2 · Botafogo SP U2010.6%
market10%

Model estimate: win FC Sao Paulo U20 70.0%, draw 19.4%, win Botafogo SP U20 10.6%. Model favourite — FC Sao Paulo U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Sao Paulo U20 - Botafogo SP U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Sao Paulo U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 4.80 / 2 9.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 ✓ Pick 70.9%
X 19.5%
2 9.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

FC Sao Paulo U20 1 : 1 Botafogo SP U20
16.64
X4.35
21.39

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

FC Sao Paulo U20 - Botafogo SP U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC Sao Paulo U20 71.3% 70.0% market and model agree
Draw 19.2% 19.4% draw risk
Botafogo SP U20 9.5% 10.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 70.0% / 19.4% / 10.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,629 / 1,481 FC Sao Paulo U20 / Botafogo SP U20
RD 159 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,312-1,946 / 1,116-1,846 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.80 market consensus · no value · model 10.6%
X 4.73 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 70.0%
Double chance
12 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 80.6%
X2 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 30.0%
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.11 90.1%
x2 3.20 31.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.80 55.6%
X 2.45 40.8%
6.80 14.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5 1.56 64.1%
Match center
FC Sao Paulo U20
D D W D W
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
FC Sao Paulo U20 1:1 Osasco Sporting U20Osasco Sporting U20
18.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
FC Sao Paulo U20 0:0 Velo Klub U20Velo Klub U20
11.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
FC Sao Paulo U20 3:1 San-Bernardo U20San-Bernardo U20
04.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
FC Sao Paulo U20 0:0 Pirasikaba U20Pirasikaba U20
13.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
FC Sao Paulo U20 1:0 Bandeirante U20Bandeirante U20
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
9 Points
Botafogo SP U20
D L W D D
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Botafogo SP U20 1:1 Desportivo U20Desportivo U20
17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Botafogo SP U20 2:4 Ibrachina U20Ibrachina U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Botafogo SP U20 71:63 Paulinense U20Paulinense U20
04.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Botafogo SP U20 1:1 Aguai U20Aguai U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Botafogo SP U20 1:1 Pirasikaba U20Pirasikaba U20
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
15.2 Scored
14.0 Conceded
6 Points