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Brazil. U20. Paulista

31.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Not started

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Ferroviaria SP U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20

Football

Ferroviaria SP U20

- : -

Not started

Portuguesa Santista U20

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ferroviaria SP U20 — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ferroviaria SP U20): model 58% · market 64% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ferroviaria SP U20 ✓ Pick61.2%

market64%

X · draw19.4%

market21%

2 · Portuguesa Santista U2019.4%

market14%

Model estimate: win Ferroviaria SP U20 61.2%, draw 19.4%, win Portuguesa Santista U20 19.4%. Model favourite — Ferroviaria SP U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ferroviaria SP U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ferroviaria SP U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.28 / 2 6.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%

1 ✓ Pick 64.4%

X 21.2%

2 14.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Ferroviaria SP U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Ferroviaria SP U20 64.0% 61.2% market and model agree

Draw 21.4% 19.4% draw risk

Portuguesa Santista U20 14.7% 19.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 61.2% / 19.4% / 19.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,717 / 1,405 Ferroviaria SP U20 / Portuguesa Santista U20

RD 185 / 186 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,347-2,087 / 1,032-1,778 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.30 market consensus · no value · model 19.4%

X 4.28 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 61.2%

Handicap

2 +1 2.00 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.96 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.96 51.0%
yes	1.75 57.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.93 51.8%
X	2.34 42.7%
	6.00 16.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.59 62.9%
Under 1	2.22 45.1%

Handicap

Outcome	Leon
	1.75 57.1%
	2.00 50.0%

Match center

Ferroviaria SP U20

D L W W W

26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Ferroviaria SP U20 1:1 Mirassol U20

18.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Ferroviaria SP U20 1:2 Santos U20

10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Ferroviaria SP U20 2:0 Ponte-Preta U20

03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Ferroviaria SP U20 2:1 Yuventus U20

12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Ferroviaria SP U20 4:0 America SP U20

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

Portuguesa Santista U20

L D L W L

24.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Portuguesa Santista U20 2:3 Yuventus U20

17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Portuguesa Santista U20 0:0 Jabaquara U20

10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Portuguesa Santista U20 63:71 Mirassol U20

03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Portuguesa Santista U20 3:2 Portugeza U20

26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Portuguesa Santista U20 3:5 Itapirense U20

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

14.2 Scored

16.2 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFerroviaria SP U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20

Ferroviaria SP U20

0 matches total

Portuguesa Santista U20

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Ferroviaria SP U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20

AI match prediction Ferroviaria SP U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20 July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Ferroviaria SP U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Handicap

Match history