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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Flamengo SP U20 - Gremio Prudente U20

Football
Flamengo SP U20
Flamengo SP U20
- : -
Not started
Gremio Prudente U20
Gremio Prudente U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Flamengo SP U20 — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Flamengo SP U20): model 32% · market 29% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Flamengo SP U2048.7%
X · draw20.8%
2 · Gremio Prudente U2030.5%

Model estimate: win Flamengo SP U20 48.7%, draw 20.8%, win Gremio Prudente U20 30.5%. Model favourite — Flamengo SP U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Flamengo SP U20 - Gremio Prudente U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Gremio Prudente U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.19 / X 3.41 / 2 2.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 28.5%
X 26.7%
2 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Flamengo SP U20 - Gremio Prudente U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Flamengo SP U20 29.1% 48.7% Glicko contrarian
Draw 26.6% 20.8% draw risk
Gremio Prudente U20 44.3% 30.5% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.7% / 20.8% / 30.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,223 / 1,471 Flamengo SP U20 / Gremio Prudente U20
RD 195 / 206 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 833-1,613 / 1,059-1,882 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.03 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 30.5%
X 3.41 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.19 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.55 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.68 59.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.71 27.0%
X 2.13 47.0%
2.69 37.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.76 56.8%
Under 1 1.95 51.3%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.25 44.4%
1.55 64.5%
Match center
Flamengo SP U20
W L L L L
24.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Flamengo SP U20 2:1 Maua U20Maua U20
19.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Flamengo SP U20 1:4 Palmeyras U20Palmeyras U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Flamengo SP U20 63:71 Sfera U20Sfera U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Flamengo SP U20 0:2 XV de Jau U20XV de Jau U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Flamengo SP U20 0:1 Guarani U20Guarani U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
13.2 Scored
15.8 Conceded
3 Points
Gremio Prudente U20
D L W W L
24.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Gremio Prudente U20 1:1 XV de Jau U20XV de Jau U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Gremio Prudente U20 63:71 Ituano U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Gremio Prudente U20 2:1 Referencia U20Referencia U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Gremio Prudente U20 3:2 Tanabi U20Tanabi U20
04.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Gremio Prudente U20 0:2 Palmeyras U20Palmeyras U20
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
13.8 Scored
15.4 Conceded
7 Points