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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Itapirense U20 - Sao Bento U20

Football
Itapirense U20
Itapirense U20
- : -
Not started
S
Sao Bento U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sao Bento U20 — 42%

Pure model vs market (2 · Sao Bento U20): model 38% · market 42% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Itapirense U2032.4%
X · draw25.8%
2 · Sao Bento U2041.8%

Model estimate: win Itapirense U20 32.4%, draw 25.8%, win Sao Bento U20 41.8%. Model favourite — Sao Bento U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Itapirense U20 - Sao Bento U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sao Bento U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.97 / X 3.50 / 2 2.26

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 31.6%
X 26.8%
2 41.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Itapirense U20 - Sao Bento U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Itapirense U20 32.0% 32.4%
Draw 25.9% 25.8% draw risk
Sao Bento U20 42.1% 41.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.4% / 25.8% / 41.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,415 / 1,521 Itapirense U20 / Sao Bento U20
RD 178 / 202 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,058-1,771 / 1,118-1,924 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.16 market consensus · no value · model 41.8%
X 3.49 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.84 market consensus · no value · model 32.4%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 74.2%
1X 1.60 market consensus · no value · model 58.2%
X2 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 67.6%
Handicap
2 0 1.63 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.60 62.5%
x2 1.29 77.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.32 30.1%
X 2.20 45.5%
2.82 35.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.67 59.9%
Under 1 2.07 48.3%
Match center
Itapirense U20
L W L L W
25.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Itapirense U20 0:4 Korintians U20Korintians U20
17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Itapirense U20 3:2 America SP U20America SP U20
11.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Itapirense U20 1:2 Sertaozinho U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Itapirense U20 0:1 Jabaquara U20Jabaquara U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Itapirense U20 5:3 Portugeza Santista U20Portugeza Santista U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
6 Points
Sao Bento U20
W D L W L
24.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 3:0 Jabaquara U20Jabaquara U20
18.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 2:2 Mirassol U20Mirassol U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 63:71 Yuventus U20Yuventus U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 2:0 America SP U20America SP U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Bento U20 2:3 Ponte-Preta U20
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
14.4 Scored
15.2 Conceded
7 Points