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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Jabaquara U20 - Sertaozinho U20
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:
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Not started
S
Sertaozinho U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Sertaozinho U20 — 54%
Model estimate: win Jabaquara U20 25.6%, draw 20.7%, win Sertaozinho U20 53.7%. Model favourite — Sertaozinho U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Jabaquara U20 - Sertaozinho U20 July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Jabaquara U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 3.30 / 2 2.61
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.1%
1
37.7%
X
27.5%
2
34.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Jabaquara U20 - Sertaozinho U20
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Jabaquara U20
38.2%
25.6%
market favourite
Draw
27.3%
20.7%
draw risk
Sertaozinho U20
34.5%
53.7%
Glicko contrarian
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
25.6% / 20.7% / 53.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,327 / 1,638
Jabaquara U20 / Sertaozinho U20
RD
170 / 186
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
988-1,666 / 1,267-2,010
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.61
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 53.7%
X
3.30
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.41
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 25.6%
Handicap
2 0
1.90
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.80
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.01
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.71
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.01 49.8% |
| yes | 1.71 58.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.07 32.6% | |
| X | 2.07 48.3% |
| 3.31 30.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Under 1 | 1.86 53.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% |
Match center
Jabaquara U20
L
D
L
W
W
Jabaquara U20
0:3
San-Bento U20
Jabaquara U20
0:0
Portugeza Santista U20
Portugeza Santista U20
Jabaquara U20
0:1
America SP U20
America SP U20
Jabaquara U20
1:0
Itapirense U20
Itapirense U20
Jabaquara U20
1:0
Mirassol U20
Mirassol U20
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
Sertaozinho U20
W
D
W
L
W
Sertaozinho U20
2:0
America SP U20
America SP U20
Sertaozinho U20
1:1
Yuventus U20
Yuventus U20
Sertaozinho U20
2:1
Itapirense U20
Itapirense U20
Sertaozinho U20
0:1
Korintians U20
Korintians U20
Sertaozinho U20
1:0
Uniao Suzano U20
Uniao Suzano U20
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyJabaquara U20 - Sertaozinho U20
Jabaquara U20
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Jabaquara U20 - Sertaozinho U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form