Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
05.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Korintians U20 - Sertaozinho U20

Futbol
Korintians U20
Korintians U20
1 : 0
Finished
S
Sertaozinho U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Korintians U20 - Sertaozinho U20 July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Korintians U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 4.80 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 26.1%
1 76.3%
X 16.5%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Paulista U20 - 1st Stage - Grupo 1

Team stats

Korintians U20
LDWWWWWDDL
W 5 • D 3 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.8 : 1.1
3 place, 7 pts
Sertaozinho U20
WWWLLLLLWD
W 4 • D 1 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.5 : 1.3
7 place, 4 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Korintians U20 1, draws 0, Sertaozinho U20 0 (goals 3:2)
  • Sertãozinho Fc U20 — Corinthians/Sp Youth2025-04-27 2:3

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Korintians U20
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Sertaozinho U20
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Korintians U20 - Sertaozinho U20

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.16 86.2% 1.61 62.1%
yes 4.30 23.3% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 8.00 12.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.62 61.7%
X 2.57 38.9%
9.60 10.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.65 60.6%
Over 1.5 2.26 44.3%
Under 1 2.11 47.4%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Korintians U20
D W
13.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Korintians U20 1:1 Portugeza Santista U20Portugeza Santista U20
05.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Korintians U20 1:0 Mirassol U20Mirassol U20
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Sertaozinho U20
W
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sertaozinho U20 1:0 Uniao Suzano U20Uniao Suzano U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points