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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Novorizontino U20 - Velo Klub U20

Futbol
Novorizontino U20
Novorizontino U20
4 : 0
Finished
Velo Klub U20
Velo Klub U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novorizontino U20 - Velo Klub U20 July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novorizontino U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 5.50 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 26.3%
1 78.4%
X 14.4%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Paulista U20 - 1st Stage - Grupo 2

Team stats

Novorizontino U20
DLWDDLDLLD
W 1 • D 5 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 1.2
15 place, 2 pts
Velo Klub U20
DWLLDDDLDD
W 1 • D 6 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.7 : 1.1
11 place, 3 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Novorizontino U20 1, draws 0, Velo Klub U20 0 (goals 3:0)
  • Velo Clube Youth — Novorizontino Youth2025-07-18 0:3

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Novorizontino U20
Well rested
  • Rest days: 9
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Velo Klub U20
Well rested
  • Rest days: 9
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Novorizontino U20 - Velo Klub U20

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.45 market consensus · line only
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.89 market consensus · line only
2 0 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.79 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.86 53.8%
yes 3.75 26.7% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.15 87.0% 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2%
x2 2.35 42.6% 10.50 9.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.00 50.0%
X 2.25 44.4%
6.00 16.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.69 59.2%
Under 1 2.04 49.0%
Match center
Novorizontino U20
D L L D
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Novorizontino U20 0:0 Uniau San-Zhoau U20Uniau San-Zhoau U20
11.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Novorizontino U20 1:3 Ibrachina U20Ibrachina U20
05.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Novorizontino U20 0:1 Desportivo U20Desportivo U20
31.05 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Novorizontino U20 2:2 Pirasikaba U20Pirasikaba U20
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points
Velo Klub U20
D D L
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Velo Klub U20 2:2 Aguai U20Aguai U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Velo Klub U20 0:0 Uniau San-Zhoau U20Uniau San-Zhoau U20
04.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Velo Klub U20 0:1 Osasco Sporting U20Osasco Sporting U20
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points