PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
26.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
26.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Palmeiras SP U20 - Alagoano U20

Football
Palmeiras SP U20
Palmeiras SP U20
0 : 3
Finished
Alagoano U20
Alagoano U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Palmeiras SP U20 — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Palmeiras SP U20): model 19% · market 46% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Palmeiras SP U2049.2%
X · draw22.4%
2 · Alagoano U2028.3%

Model estimate: win Palmeiras SP U20 49.2%, draw 22.4%, win Alagoano U20 28.3%. Model favourite — Palmeiras SP U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Palmeiras SP U20 - Alagoano U20 July 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras SP U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Palmeiras SP U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 4.10 / 2 3.90
  • Glicko: Palmeiras SP U20 49.2% / X 22.4% / Alagoano U20 28.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin -7.4%
1 46.0%
X 26.3%
2 27.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Catarinense U20
League table
Palmeiras SP U20
#414 ptsGP 94-2-314:15
WWDLL
Alagoano U20
#69 ptsGP 82-3-417:17
LLDDW
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Palmeiras SP U20
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.70 Conceded 1.30
Alagoano U20
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.60

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Palmeiras SP U20 2 : 2 Alagoano U20
11.91
X3.45
23.47

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 26.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Palmeiras SP U20 - Alagoano U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 49.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.806 / LogLoss 1.261
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 49.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.806 / LogLoss 1.261
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Palmeiras SP U20 51.2% 49.2% market and model agree
Draw 22.7% 22.4% draw risk
Alagoano U20 26.1% 28.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.2% / 22.4% / 28.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,557 / 1,874 Palmeiras SP U20 / Alagoano U20
RD 145 / 150 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,267-1,847 / 1,573-2,174 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.08 market consensus · no value · model 28.3%
X 5.98 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.81 market consensus · no value · model 49.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.69 59.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.40 41.7%
X 2.17 46.1%
4.31 23.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.74 57.5%
Under 1 1.98 50.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.60 38.5%
1.43 69.9%
1.43 69.9%
2.60 38.5%
Match center
Palmeiras SP U20
W D W L W
19.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Palmeiras SP U20 4:1 Flamengo SP U20Flamengo SP U20
11.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Palmeiras SP U20 2:2 Kapivariano U20
05.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Palmeiras SP U20 1:0 Porto Football U20Porto Football U20
13.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Palmeiras SP U20 0:2 Osasko U20Osasko U20
04.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Palmeiras SP U20 2:0 Gremio Prudente U20Gremio Prudente U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Alagoano U20
W W W W L
18.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Alagoano U20 3:1 Porto Football U20Porto Football U20
12.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Alagoano U20 7:1 XV de Jau U20XV de Jau U20
05.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Alagoano U20 4:1 Referencia U20Referencia U20
05.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Alagoano U20 3:1 Flamengo SP U20Flamengo SP U20
31.05 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Alagoano U20 0:1 Sfera U20Sfera U20
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points