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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
12.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Ponte Preta U20 - Sao Bento U20

Football
P
Ponte Preta U20
3 : 2
Finished
S
Sao Bento U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ponte Preta U20 - Sao Bento U20 June 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ponte Preta U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 3.00 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 57.3%
1 62.9%
X 21.2%
2 15.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Baiano U20
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ponte Preta U20
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 2.61 Conceded 1.49 xG 2.28 xGA 1.09
1 -0.92 X -2.00 2 +0.14 1 (DNB) +0.00
Sao Bento U20
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.21 Conceded 1.00
1 +0.00 X +0.00 2 +0.00 1 (DNB) +0.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ponte Preta U20
Rating 1580
Sao Bento U20
Rating 1530

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 12.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Ponte Preta U20 - Sao Bento U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 Fonbet · line only
X 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.35 74.1%
1x 1.22 82.0%
x2 10.50 9.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
1.16 86.2%
6.30 15.9%
5.70 17.5%
10.50 9.5%
1.37 73.0%
8.50 11.8%
4.40 22.7%
1.07 93.5%
1.09 91.7%
1.01 99.0%
2.85 35.1%

Total

Outcome Bet365 Fonbet
Over 0.5 — 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 — 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5% 1.10 90.9%
Over 3.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 4.5 — 3.90 25.6%
Over 5.5 — 4.50 22.2%
Over 6.5 — 9.50 10.5%
Over 7.5 — 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 — 4.70 21.3%
Under 1.5 — 2.85 35.1%
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5% 5.40 18.5%
Under 3.5 — 2.20 45.5%
Under 4.5 — 1.20 83.3%
Under 5.5 — 1.15 87.0%
Under 6.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Under 7.5 — 1.04 96.2%